Polymarket traders price a 65% implied probability for June WTI crude oil (CL) settlement above $84, reflecting strong consensus on sustained elevated prices amid escalating Middle East tensions, including Hormuz Strait disruptions and Iranian supply risks that propelled front-month futures above $104/bbl—a 8% single-day surge on April 13. June 2026 contracts trade near $95-96/bbl, backwardation signaling tight near-term supply, reinforced by recent EIA data showing draws in commercial crude inventories despite softer global demand growth forecasts from IEA and OPEC. Trader sentiment has shifted bullish over the past week as geopolitical risk premiums re-emerged, countering earlier de-escalation hopes; watch upcoming EIA weekly inventories on April 16 and potential OPEC+ production adjustments for volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
>$84 65%
$77-$84 15%
$70-$77 8.2%
$63-$70 5.5%
$127,286 Vol.
$127,286 Vol.
<$42
5%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
5%
$70-$77
8%
$77-$84
15%
>$84
65%
>$84 65%
$77-$84 15%
$70-$77 8.2%
$63-$70 5.5%
$127,286 Vol.
$127,286 Vol.
<$42
5%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
5%
$70-$77
8%
$77-$84
15%
>$84
65%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 65% implied probability for June WTI crude oil (CL) settlement above $84, reflecting strong consensus on sustained elevated prices amid escalating Middle East tensions, including Hormuz Strait disruptions and Iranian supply risks that propelled front-month futures above $104/bbl—a 8% single-day surge on April 13. June 2026 contracts trade near $95-96/bbl, backwardation signaling tight near-term supply, reinforced by recent EIA data showing draws in commercial crude inventories despite softer global demand growth forecasts from IEA and OPEC. Trader sentiment has shifted bullish over the past week as geopolitical risk premiums re-emerged, countering earlier de-escalation hopes; watch upcoming EIA weekly inventories on April 16 and potential OPEC+ production adjustments for volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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