Market icon
Sports·Soccer

Copa Libertadores: Winner

Market icon
Sports·Soccer

Copa Libertadores: Winner

Universidad Central 40%

Flamengo 25%

Santa Fe 9%

Corinthians 2.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Universidad Central 40%

Flamengo 25%

Santa Fe 9%

Corinthians 2.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Universidad Central

$38 Vol.

40%

Flamengo

$32 Vol.

40%

Santa Fe

$28 Vol.

9%

Corinthians

$36 Vol.

14%

Boca Juniors

$66 Vol.

10%

Universidad Católica

$35 Vol.

1%

Junior

$35 Vol.

5%

Rosario Central

$25 Vol.

1%

Nacional

$25 Vol.

1%

Always Ready

$25 Vol.

1%

LDU Quito

$35 Vol.

17%

Lanús

$25 Vol.

1%

Libertad

$25 Vol.

1%

Platense

$25 Vol.

1%

Cerro Porteño

$35 Vol.

11%

Independiente Rivadavia

$25 Vol.

1%

Estudiantes LP

$35 Vol.

17%

Mirassol

$25 Vol.

1%

Independiente Medellín

$25 Vol.

1%

Bolívar

$25 Vol.

1%

Peñarol

$35 Vol.

12%

Palmeiras

$43 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Copa Libertadores. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Palmeiras holds the trader consensus lead at 48.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Copa Libertadores, bolstered by their top position in the Brasileirão standings and top CONMEBOL club ranking, despite a 1-1 group stage draw away to Junior FC in Group F's opener last week. Flamengo trails closely at 40%, reflecting their elite squad depth, recent continental success, and commanding 2-0 home win over Cusco FC in Group A. LDU Quito's 34.4% pricing stems from a gritty 1-0 away victory at high-altitude Always Ready in Group G, leveraging Ecuadorian altitude expertise and semifinal pedigree from 2025. Universidad Central's surge to 20% follows a stunning 3-1 debut thrashing of Libertad in Group H, fueling underdog momentum, while Mirassol and Independiente Rivadavia benefit from narrow Matchday 1 wins positioning them atop Groups G and C amid the ongoing group stage. Brazilian firepower and form drive the market's heavy favoritism early on.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Copa Libertadores. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$702
End Date
Dec 12, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 11:36 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Copa Libertadores. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Copa Libertadores. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Palmeiras holds the trader consensus lead at 48.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Copa Libertadores, bolstered by their top position in the Brasileirão standings and top CONMEBOL club ranking, despite a 1-1 group stage draw away to Junior FC in Group F's opener last week. Flamengo trails closely at 40%, reflecting their elite squad depth, recent continental success, and commanding 2-0 home win over Cusco FC in Group A. LDU Quito's 34.4% pricing stems from a gritty 1-0 away victory at high-altitude Always Ready in Group G, leveraging Ecuadorian altitude expertise and semifinal pedigree from 2025. Universidad Central's surge to 20% follows a stunning 3-1 debut thrashing of Libertad in Group H, fueling underdog momentum, while Mirassol and Independiente Rivadavia benefit from narrow Matchday 1 wins positioning them atop Groups G and C amid the ongoing group stage. Brazilian firepower and form drive the market's heavy favoritism early on.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Copa Libertadores. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$702
End Date
Dec 12, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 11:36 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Copa Libertadores. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Copa Libertadores: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Palmeiras" at 49%, followed by "Flamengo" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Copa Libertadores: Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Copa Libertadores: Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Copa Libertadores: Winner" is "Palmeiras" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Flamengo" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Copa Libertadores: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.