Surveillance predictions & odds

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FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

60%

$14.2K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

40%

June 30

$86.3K Vol.

$37.7K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

18%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$33.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

9%

$47.6K Vol.

$17.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 14, 2026?

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 14, 2026?

82%

80–85

$1.5K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

45%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

109

Ends in 3 months

Epstein storage units raided in 2026?

Epstein storage units raided in 2026?

20%

$5.9K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

35%

December 31, 2026

$445K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

29

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

16%

$8.4K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

20%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$58.3K Liq.

937

Ends in 3 months

Zelenskyy # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

51%

60-79

$2.6K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?

1%

$10.1K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

55%

20-24

$10.0K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in about 22 hours

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

81%

Not revealed in 2026

$11.9K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?

59%

$8.2K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

91%

140-159

$165K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends in about 22 hours

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

41%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$240 Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Anthropic CEO arrested?

3%

$146K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

31%

3

$9.9K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days

White House # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

White House # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

40%

160-179

$16.9K Vol.

$58.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Surveillance.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Surveillance that lets you track or trade on predictions like “FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Epstein client list released by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Epstein client list released by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 20% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Surveillance predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.