Robot predictions & odds

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Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

94%

June 30

$71.8K Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

11

Ends in 9 months

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

38%

$268K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

33

Ends in 9 months

Ibaraki Robots vs. Nagasaki Velca

Ibaraki Robots vs. Nagasaki Velca

53%

Ibaraki Robots

$0 Vol.

$13 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Ibaraki Robots vs. Nagasaki Velca

Ibaraki Robots vs. Nagasaki Velca

52%

Ibaraki Robots

$0 Vol.

$12 Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Ibaraki Robots vs. Koshigaya Alphas

Ibaraki Robots vs. Koshigaya Alphas

51%

Koshigaya Alphas

$0 Vol.

$110 Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

12%

$94.6K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

32%

$31.1K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

Japan B League: Winner

Japan B League: Winner

94%

Altiri Chiba

$719 Vol.

$195 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

45%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

109

Ends in 3 months

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

94%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$7.5K Vol.

$57.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

90%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$1.7K Vol.

$52.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

29%

December 31, 2026

$252K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

31

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?

90%

Anthropic

$69.1K Vol.

$90.3K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Best Chinese AI Company end of April?

Best Chinese AI Company end of April?

76%

Alibaba

$44.5K Vol.

$31.8K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

54%

NVIDIA (NVDA)

$24.1K Vol.

$21.4K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

81%

Anthropic

$1M Vol.

$191K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

11%

$2.2K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

Which company has the second best Coding AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best Coding AI model end of April?

90%

Anthropic

$11.9K Vol.

$49.2K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

80%

Anthropic

$28.9K Vol.

$60.0K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit Week of April 13 2026?

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit Week of April 13 2026?

81%

↓ $66

$4.1K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Robot.

Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for Robot that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Tesla release Optimus by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 45% chance to June 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Robot predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.