JPM predictions & odds

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Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?

Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?

90%

$6.1K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

1

Ends in about 20 hours

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

49%

Morgan Stanley

$407K Vol.

$121K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

45%

Morgan Stanley

$1M Vol.

$78.1K Liq.

17

Ends in over 1 year

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

53%

RBC

$18.1K Vol.

$36.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

56%

$489K Vol.

$49.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

14%

$1.9K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

YOM FDV above ___ one day after launch?

YOM FDV above ___ one day after launch?

44%

$50M

$0 Vol.

$834 Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

78%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$7.1K Vol.

$132K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

92%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$1.6K Vol.

$52.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

94%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$7.5K Vol.

$58.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

86%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$788K Vol.

$93.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

94%

CME

$79.8K Vol.

$32.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$515K Vol.

$79.2K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

2%

May 14

$2M Vol.

$32.1K Liq.

37

Ends in about 1 month

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

93%

Spirit

$487K Vol.

$477K today

$157K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

T20 Brisbane Champions League: Melbourne Pirates vs Genid Royals

T20 Brisbane Champions League: Melbourne Pirates vs Genid Royals

50%

Melbourne Pirates

$0 Vol.

$16 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?

Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?

9%

$2.1K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Santa Cruz: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Facundo Mena

Santa Cruz: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Facundo Mena

64%

Facundo Mena

$0 Vol.

$114 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

100%

G2

$3M Vol.

$3M today

$570K Liq.

Ends in about 2 hours

What will King Charles say during the joint meeting of Congress on April 28?

What will King Charles say during the joint meeting of Congress on April 28?

44%

250 / 250th

$1 Vol.

$473 Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like JPM.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for JPM that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to G2. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on JPM predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.