Humanoid predictions & odds

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Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

94%

June 30

$71.7K Vol.

$26.8K Liq.

11

Ends in 9 months

Zelenskyy # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

62%

60-79

$1.8K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

76%

<3

$9.8K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

52%

20-24

$10.0K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in about 23 hours

Which company has the second best Math AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best Math AI model end of April?

35%

Anthropic

$3.6K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 13?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 13?

42%

Up

$4.0K Vol.

$142 Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 14?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 14?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in about 5 hours

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

Ends in about 24 hours

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

Ends in about 24 hours

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in about 23 hours

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in about 5 hours

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in about 23 hours

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$588 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in about 5 hours

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Humanoid.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Humanoid that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Tesla release Optimus by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $101K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 14?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Tesla release Optimus by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Tesla release Optimus by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 19% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Humanoid predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.