Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

17%

June 30

$870K Vol.

$38.9K Liq.

50

Ends in 3 months

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

39%

Anthropic

$30.5K Vol.

$29.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

7%

April 30

$43.0K Vol.

$51 Liq.

1

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

53%

↑ 1550

$81.3K Vol.

$35.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

29%

6

$136K Vol.

$34.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 3 months

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

42%

50%+

$302K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

92%

40%+

$127K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Google (GOOGL) closes week of Apr 13 at ___?

Google (GOOGL) closes week of Apr 13 at ___?

35%

$310-$315

$0 Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 13?

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 13?

22%

Up

$12.8K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends in about 11 hours

What will Google (GOOGL) hit in April 2026?

What will Google (GOOGL) hit in April 2026?

50%

↑ $335

$28.1K Vol.

$18.7K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on April 13?

Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on April 13?

49%

$325

$566 Vol.

$423 Liq.

Ends in about 11 hours

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 10?

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 10?

<1%

Up

$16.5K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Will Google (GOOGL) close above ___ end of April?

Will Google (GOOGL) close above ___ end of April?

100%

$240

$25.3K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 13 above___?

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 13 above___?

98%

$290

$40 Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

89%

Anthropic

$7M Vol.

$435K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

54%

Anthropic

$1M Vol.

$78.5K today

$169K Liq.

19

Ends in 3 months

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

58%

Anthropic

$3M Vol.

$407K Liq.

61

Ends in 3 months

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

88%

Anthropic

$1M Vol.

$213K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

55%

Anthropic

$265K Vol.

$114K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?

90%

Anthropic

$67.8K Vol.

$92.0K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Google.

Polymarket currently hosts 192 active markets for Google that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Gemini 3.5 released by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $14.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 13?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has the best AI model end of April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has the best AI model end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 89% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Google predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.