Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

41%

50%+

$305K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

92%

40%+

$128K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

14%

$31.3K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

8

Ends in 3 months

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

17%

June 30

$870K Vol.

$39.1K Liq.

50

Ends in 3 months

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

94%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$7.5K Vol.

$56.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

89%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$1.6K Vol.

$51.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

76%

<3

$9.8K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days

Kimi K3 released by…?

Kimi K3 released by…?

48%

June 30

$2.9K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

19%

April 30

$685K Vol.

$81.4K Liq.

78

Ends in 16 days

Highest grossing movie this weekend (April 3)

Highest grossing movie this weekend (April 3)

100%

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

$49.1K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

97%

April 6

$194K Vol.

$34.0K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

83%

March 29

$163K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

74%

50%+

$57.1K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

12

Ends in 3 months

Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

88%

June 30

$109K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

6

Ends in 3 months

Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby

$8.3K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

78%

Avengers: Doomsday

$1M Vol.

$162K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?

Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?

10%

Dune 3

$34.4K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

100%

eternal premium

$725 Vol.

$1 Liq.

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

25%

June 30

$228K Vol.

$24.9K Liq.

8

Ends in 16 days

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

83%

PP–DB

$64.0K Vol.

$51.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Gemini 3.

Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for Gemini 3 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 78% chance to Avengers: Doomsday. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gemini 3 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.