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Sports·Mma

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

Market icon
Sports·Mma

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

$64,299 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$64,299 Vol.

Polymarket

Nassourdine Imavov

$0 Vol.

86%

Max Holloway

$0 Vol.

48%

Charles Oliveira

$35 Vol.

48%

Belal Muhammad

$250 Vol.

48%

Kamaru Usman

$6,299 Vol.

47%

Yair Rodriguez

$0 Vol.

47%

Dricus Du Plessis

$0 Vol.

47%

Sergei Pavlovich

$29 Vol.

47%

Aljamain Sterling

$52 Vol.

45%

Merab Dvalishvili

$729 Vol.

50%

Arman Tsarukyan

$2,137 Vol.

15%

Magomed Ankalaev

$824 Vol.

22%

Sean Strickland

$961 Vol.

8%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$805 Vol.

17%

Cory Sandhagen

$0 Vol.

11%

Shavkat Rakhmonov

$0 Vol.

11%

Sean O'Malley

$1,356 Vol.

20%

Diego Lopes

$4,886 Vol.

8%

Manel Kape

$0 Vol.

4%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$0 Vol.

3%

Leon Edwards

$39,929 Vol.

21%

Jack Della Maddalena

$0 Vol.

1%

Paddy Pimblett

$0 Vol.

6%

Alexandre Pantoja

$638 Vol.

47%

Ian Machado Garry

$203 Vol.

46%

Jiří Procházka

$3,442 Vol.

53%

Ciryl Gane

$1,472 Vol.

49%

Alexander Volkov

$252 Vol.

47%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Ulberg's stunning first-round knockout of Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 on April 11 captured the light heavyweight title, marking the first new UFC champion of 2026 despite Ulberg's severe knee injury during the fight, injecting volatility into trader consensus on future titleholders. Khamzat Chimaev's undefeated streak faces a critical test against former middleweight king Sean Strickland in the UFC 328 main event, with the winner poised as a pound-for-pound riser amid Chimaev's welterweight-to-middleweight transition buzz. Current belts held by Joshua Van (flyweight), Petr Yan (bantamweight), Alexander Volkanovski (featherweight), and others leave openings for contenders like Ilia Topuria, Tom Aspinall, and Alexandre Pantoja, whose recent form and stylistic edges drive market positioning through the year's stacked title fight slate.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$64,299
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Ulberg's stunning first-round knockout of Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 on April 11 captured the light heavyweight title, marking the first new UFC champion of 2026 despite Ulberg's severe knee injury during the fight, injecting volatility into trader consensus on future titleholders. Khamzat Chimaev's undefeated streak faces a critical test against former middleweight king Sean Strickland in the UFC 328 main event, with the winner poised as a pound-for-pound riser amid Chimaev's welterweight-to-middleweight transition buzz. Current belts held by Joshua Van (flyweight), Petr Yan (bantamweight), Alexander Volkanovski (featherweight), and others leave openings for contenders like Ilia Topuria, Tom Aspinall, and Alexandre Pantoja, whose recent form and stylistic edges drive market positioning through the year's stacked title fight slate.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$64,299
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

Market icon

Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

76%
Market icon

Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

45%
Market icon

Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

64%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jiří Procházka" at 53%, followed by "Merab Dvalishvili" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" has generated $64.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is "Jiří Procházka" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Merab Dvalishvili" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.