Recent polls, including INSA's March 25 survey showing AfD at 38% and CDU at 25%, have solidified trader consensus that CDU will secure second place in the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl under proportional representation, pricing it at 86% implied probability. AfD's persistent lead reflects its strength among East German voters, while CDU maintains a clear edge over Die Linke (13%), SPD (6%), BSW (5%), Greens (4%), and FDP (3%). Stable poll trends since CDU's January leadership change to Sven Schulze, with no major developments in the past 30 days, underpin this positioning, though campaign momentum or scandals could narrow gaps ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCDU 86%
AfD 8%
FDP 1.4%
SPD 1.1%
$42,765 Vol.
$42,765 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
CDU
86%
AfD
8%
FDP
1%
SPD
1%
BSW
1%
The Greens
<1%
The Left
<1%
CDU 86%
AfD 8%
FDP 1.4%
SPD 1.1%
$42,765 Vol.
$42,765 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
CDU
$16,150 Vol.
86%
AfD
$777 Vol.
8%
FDP
$1,684 Vol.
1%
SPD
$21,880 Vol.
1%
BSW
$694 Vol.
1%
The Greens
$915 Vol.
<1%
The Left
$665 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls, including INSA's March 25 survey showing AfD at 38% and CDU at 25%, have solidified trader consensus that CDU will secure second place in the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl under proportional representation, pricing it at 86% implied probability. AfD's persistent lead reflects its strength among East German voters, while CDU maintains a clear edge over Die Linke (13%), SPD (6%), BSW (5%), Greens (4%), and FDP (3%). Stable poll trends since CDU's January leadership change to Sven Schulze, with no major developments in the past 30 days, underpin this positioning, though campaign momentum or scandals could narrow gaps ahead of election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Volume
$42,765End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls, including INSA's March 25 survey showing AfD at 38% and CDU at 25%, have solidified trader consensus that CDU will secure second place in the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl under proportional representation, pricing it at 86% implied probability. AfD's persistent lead reflects its strength among East German voters, while CDU maintains a clear edge over Die Linke (13%), SPD (6%), BSW (5%), Greens (4%), and FDP (3%). Stable poll trends since CDU's January leadership change to Sven Schulze, with no major developments in the past 30 days, underpin this positioning, though campaign momentum or scandals could narrow gaps ahead of election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$42,765End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including INSA's March 25 survey showing AfD at 38% and CDU at 25%, have solidified trader consensus that CDU will secure second place in the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl under proportional representation, pricing it at 86% implied probability. AfD's persistent lead reflects its strength among East German voters, while CDU maintains a clear edge over Die Linke (13%), SPD (6%), BSW (5%), Greens (4%), and FDP (3%). Stable poll trends since CDU's January leadership change to Sven Schulze, with no major developments in the past 30 days, underpin this positioning, though campaign momentum or scandals could narrow gaps ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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