Former Prince Andrew, arrested on February 19, 2026, at Sandringham on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein files—potentially involving misuse of police protection or taxpayer funds—was released under investigation without charges that day. Nearly two months later, UK authorities have filed no formal indictment, leaving the probe open amid scrutiny of royal privileges but no trial date set. Trader consensus at 88.5% for "No" reflects this procedural standstill, historical lack of criminal prosecution despite civil settlements, and high evidentiary barriers for conviction on the offense, which carries a life maximum but rare severe sentences; late developments like charges could shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$205,317 Vol.
$205,317 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$205,317 Vol.
$205,317 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Prince Andrew, arrested on February 19, 2026, at Sandringham on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein files—potentially involving misuse of police protection or taxpayer funds—was released under investigation without charges that day. Nearly two months later, UK authorities have filed no formal indictment, leaving the probe open amid scrutiny of royal privileges but no trial date set. Trader consensus at 88.5% for "No" reflects this procedural standstill, historical lack of criminal prosecution despite civil settlements, and high evidentiary barriers for conviction on the offense, which carries a life maximum but rare severe sentences; late developments like charges could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Volume
$205,317End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Prince Andrew, arrested on February 19, 2026, at Sandringham on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein files—potentially involving misuse of police protection or taxpayer funds—was released under investigation without charges that day. Nearly two months later, UK authorities have filed no formal indictment, leaving the probe open amid scrutiny of royal privileges but no trial date set. Trader consensus at 88.5% for "No" reflects this procedural standstill, historical lack of criminal prosecution despite civil settlements, and high evidentiary barriers for conviction on the offense, which carries a life maximum but rare severe sentences; late developments like charges could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$205,317End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former Prince Andrew, arrested on February 19, 2026, at Sandringham on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein files—potentially involving misuse of police protection or taxpayer funds—was released under investigation without charges that day. Nearly two months later, UK authorities have filed no formal indictment, leaving the probe open amid scrutiny of royal privileges but no trial date set. Trader consensus at 88.5% for "No" reflects this procedural standstill, historical lack of criminal prosecution despite civil settlements, and high evidentiary barriers for conviction on the offense, which carries a life maximum but rare severe sentences; late developments like charges could shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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