Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations reveal minimal precipitation accumulation in Seoul through April 12—far below the historical April average of 65-80 mm—driving trader consensus toward lower totals, with under 40 mm at 32% implied probability amid a broadly uncertain distribution. Early-month spring showers, including light rain around April 4-6 and 9-10 from passing low-pressure systems, added scant volume, while recent mild, dry conditions dominate. Key variables tipping outcomes include potential late-April moisture influx from Pacific steering patterns, model consensus on limited intensification, and climatological variability in East Asian spring transitions; higher bins like 60-65 mm hinge on clustered showers exceeding 40 mm in the remaining 18 days. Watch KMA daily forecasts for shifts in these uncertain dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in Seoul in April?
Precipitation in Seoul in April?
<40mm 32%
75mm+ 24%
55-60mm 16%
50-55mm 12%
$14,392 Vol.
$14,392 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
<40mm
32%
40-45mm
4%
45-50mm
7%
50-55mm
12%
55-60mm
16%
60-65mm
11%
65-70mm
18%
70-75mm
3%
75mm+
14%
<40mm 32%
75mm+ 24%
55-60mm 16%
50-55mm 12%
$14,392 Vol.
$14,392 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
<40mm
$8,928 Vol.
32%
40-45mm
$163 Vol.
4%
45-50mm
$183 Vol.
7%
50-55mm
$1,649 Vol.
12%
55-60mm
$2,314 Vol.
16%
60-65mm
$140 Vol.
11%
65-70mm
$260 Vol.
18%
70-75mm
$151 Vol.
3%
75mm+
$605 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations reveal minimal precipitation accumulation in Seoul through April 12—far below the historical April average of 65-80 mm—driving trader consensus toward lower totals, with under 40 mm at 32% implied probability amid a broadly uncertain distribution. Early-month spring showers, including light rain around April 4-6 and 9-10 from passing low-pressure systems, added scant volume, while recent mild, dry conditions dominate. Key variables tipping outcomes include potential late-April moisture influx from Pacific steering patterns, model consensus on limited intensification, and climatological variability in East Asian spring transitions; higher bins like 60-65 mm hinge on clustered showers exceeding 40 mm in the remaining 18 days. Watch KMA daily forecasts for shifts in these uncertain dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Volume
$14,392End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations reveal minimal precipitation accumulation in Seoul through April 12—far below the historical April average of 65-80 mm—driving trader consensus toward lower totals, with under 40 mm at 32% implied probability amid a broadly uncertain distribution. Early-month spring showers, including light rain around April 4-6 and 9-10 from passing low-pressure systems, added scant volume, while recent mild, dry conditions dominate. Key variables tipping outcomes include potential late-April moisture influx from Pacific steering patterns, model consensus on limited intensification, and climatological variability in East Asian spring transitions; higher bins like 60-65 mm hinge on clustered showers exceeding 40 mm in the remaining 18 days. Watch KMA daily forecasts for shifts in these uncertain dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,392End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations reveal minimal precipitation accumulation in Seoul through April 12—far below the historical April average of 65-80 mm—driving trader consensus toward lower totals, with under 40 mm at 32% implied probability amid a broadly uncertain distribution. Early-month spring showers, including light rain around April 4-6 and 9-10 from passing low-pressure systems, added scant volume, while recent mild, dry conditions dominate. Key variables tipping outcomes include potential late-April moisture influx from Pacific steering patterns, model consensus on limited intensification, and climatological variability in East Asian spring transitions; higher bins like 60-65 mm hinge on clustered showers exceeding 40 mm in the remaining 18 days. Watch KMA daily forecasts for shifts in these uncertain dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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