Accumulated rainfall at the Hong Kong Observatory reached only about 60mm through April 9—driven by a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—followed by a dry spell through April 13 with no significant precipitation reported on days 9-13, positioning below-130mm as the trader consensus at 53%. This slow start trails the historical April normal of around 153mm, despite seasonal forecasts from the Observatory calling for normal to above-normal totals amid the rainy season onset. The lack of recent showers in the past week outweighs tail risks like 190mm+ (15.5%), as dry patterns persist, though isolated heavy events could still elevate mid-range bins like 140-150mm (13.5%) before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in Hong Kong in April?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in April?
<130mm 52%
190mm+ 18%
140-150mm 13%
130-140mm 12%
$25,917 Vol.
$25,917 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
<130mm
52%
130-140mm
12%
140-150mm
13%
150-160mm
7%
160-170mm
1%
190-200mm
1%
180-190
4%
190mm+
18%
<130mm 52%
190mm+ 18%
140-150mm 13%
130-140mm 12%
$25,917 Vol.
$25,917 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
<130mm
$12,711 Vol.
52%
130-140mm
$3,688 Vol.
12%
140-150mm
$5,600 Vol.
13%
150-160mm
$3,153 Vol.
7%
160-170mm
$197 Vol.
1%
190-200mm
$130 Vol.
1%
180-190
$152 Vol.
4%
190mm+
$287 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Accumulated rainfall at the Hong Kong Observatory reached only about 60mm through April 9—driven by a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—followed by a dry spell through April 13 with no significant precipitation reported on days 9-13, positioning below-130mm as the trader consensus at 53%. This slow start trails the historical April normal of around 153mm, despite seasonal forecasts from the Observatory calling for normal to above-normal totals amid the rainy season onset. The lack of recent showers in the past week outweighs tail risks like 190mm+ (15.5%), as dry patterns persist, though isolated heavy events could still elevate mid-range bins like 140-150mm (13.5%) before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Volume
$25,917End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Accumulated rainfall at the Hong Kong Observatory reached only about 60mm through April 9—driven by a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—followed by a dry spell through April 13 with no significant precipitation reported on days 9-13, positioning below-130mm as the trader consensus at 53%. This slow start trails the historical April normal of around 153mm, despite seasonal forecasts from the Observatory calling for normal to above-normal totals amid the rainy season onset. The lack of recent showers in the past week outweighs tail risks like 190mm+ (15.5%), as dry patterns persist, though isolated heavy events could still elevate mid-range bins like 140-150mm (13.5%) before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$25,917End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Accumulated rainfall at the Hong Kong Observatory reached only about 60mm through April 9—driven by a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—followed by a dry spell through April 13 with no significant precipitation reported on days 9-13, positioning below-130mm as the trader consensus at 53%. This slow start trails the historical April normal of around 153mm, despite seasonal forecasts from the Observatory calling for normal to above-normal totals amid the rainy season onset. The lack of recent showers in the past week outweighs tail risks like 190mm+ (15.5%), as dry patterns persist, though isolated heavy events could still elevate mid-range bins like 140-150mm (13.5%) before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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