Market icon
Sports·Awards

MLB: 2026 NL MVP

Market icon
Sports·Awards

MLB: 2026 NL MVP

Shohei Ohtani 65%

Juan Soto 12%

Ronald Acuña Jr. 11%

Bryce Harper 6.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Shohei Ohtani 65%

Juan Soto 12%

Ronald Acuña Jr. 11%

Bryce Harper 6.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Shohei Ohtani

$1,520 Vol.

65%

Juan Soto

$1,545 Vol.

12%

Ronald Acuña Jr.

$192 Vol.

11%

Bryce Harper

$0 Vol.

7%

Elly De La Cruz

$124 Vol.

6%

Mookie Betts

$73 Vol.

6%

Kyle Tucker

$188 Vol.

5%

Francisco Lindor

$202 Vol.

7%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$86 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shohei Ohtani dominates trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability for NL MVP, propelled by his two-way mastery in the season's opening weeks—boasting a perfect 12 scoreless innings pitched (0.00 ERA, 0.75 WHIP) alongside a .293 average, four homers, and nine RBI, capped by leadoff blasts on April 11-12 that extended his on-base streak to 44 games. Following three consecutive MVPs and a stellar 2025 (.282, 55 HR), his early surge against elite arms like Jacob deGrom has widened the gap over challengers. Juan Soto (11.5%) shows steady Mets output post his 2025 third-place finish, while Bryce Harper (8.6%) and Francisco Lindor (7.6%) maintain solid lines but lack Ohtani's flash; full-season stats and injury risks will test this frontrunner status amid baseball's volatility.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,930
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shohei Ohtani dominates trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability for NL MVP, propelled by his two-way mastery in the season's opening weeks—boasting a perfect 12 scoreless innings pitched (0.00 ERA, 0.75 WHIP) alongside a .293 average, four homers, and nine RBI, capped by leadoff blasts on April 11-12 that extended his on-base streak to 44 games. Following three consecutive MVPs and a stellar 2025 (.282, 55 HR), his early surge against elite arms like Jacob deGrom has widened the gap over challengers. Juan Soto (11.5%) shows steady Mets output post his 2025 third-place finish, while Bryce Harper (8.6%) and Francisco Lindor (7.6%) maintain solid lines but lack Ohtani's flash; full-season stats and injury risks will test this frontrunner status amid baseball's volatility.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,930
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 NL MVP" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shohei Ohtani" at 65%, followed by "Juan Soto" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: 2026 NL MVP" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 NL MVP," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 NL MVP" is "Shohei Ohtani" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Juan Soto" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 NL MVP" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.