President Trump's January 2026 threat to invoke the Insurrection Act amid Minneapolis protests over ICE enforcement actions—including the fatal shooting of Renee Good—intensified scrutiny of the rarely used 1807 law authorizing domestic military deployment, but no proclamation followed a Supreme Court ruling blocking National Guard use under related provisions. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving trader consensus skeptical of near-term activation despite ongoing immigration tensions and election security debates. Congressional reform bills like S.2070 and H.R.4076, pending in committees, seek to impose limits on presidential authority, potentially reducing invocation risks ahead of key deadlines such as fiscal year appropriations or midterm election cycles.