Market icon
Sports·Soccer

DFB-Pokal: Winner

Market icon
Sports·Soccer

DFB-Pokal: Winner

Bayern Munich 82%

SC Freiburg 23%

Leverkusen 23%

VfB Stuttgart 0

Polymarket
NEW

Bayern Munich 82%

SC Freiburg 23%

Leverkusen 23%

VfB Stuttgart 0

Polymarket
NEW

Bayern Munich

$14 Vol.

82%

SC Freiburg

$0 Vol.

23%

Leverkusen

$0 Vol.

23%

VfB Stuttgart

$3 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the DFB-Pokal. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of DFB-Pokal per the rules of DFB-Pokal (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the DFB-Pokal; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Bayern Munich's 76% implied probability as DFB-Pokal winner stems from their Bundesliga-leading form and flawless quarter-final win over RB Leipzig, bolstered by a dramatic 3-2 comeback at Freiburg last weekend that marked their 100th league goal. Traders see them navigating the away semi-final at Bayer Leverkusen—whom they drew in February—thanks to squad depth despite minor absences like Lennart Karl. Leverkusen's 23% reflects their solid 3-0 quarter-final over St. Pauli but tougher path amid mid-table Bundesliga struggles. Defending champions VfB Stuttgart (19%) host regional rivals SC Freiburg (20%) in the other semi on April 22/23, with Freiburg's penalty shootout survival highlighting upset potential in a closely contested matchup.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the DFB-Pokal. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of DFB-Pokal per the rules of DFB-Pokal (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be official information from the DFB-Pokal; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17
End Date
Jun 6, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the DFB-Pokal. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of DFB-Pokal per the rules of DFB-Pokal (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the DFB-Pokal; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the DFB-Pokal. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of DFB-Pokal per the rules of DFB-Pokal (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the DFB-Pokal; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Bayern Munich's 76% implied probability as DFB-Pokal winner stems from their Bundesliga-leading form and flawless quarter-final win over RB Leipzig, bolstered by a dramatic 3-2 comeback at Freiburg last weekend that marked their 100th league goal. Traders see them navigating the away semi-final at Bayer Leverkusen—whom they drew in February—thanks to squad depth despite minor absences like Lennart Karl. Leverkusen's 23% reflects their solid 3-0 quarter-final over St. Pauli but tougher path amid mid-table Bundesliga struggles. Defending champions VfB Stuttgart (19%) host regional rivals SC Freiburg (20%) in the other semi on April 22/23, with Freiburg's penalty shootout survival highlighting upset potential in a closely contested matchup.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the DFB-Pokal. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of DFB-Pokal per the rules of DFB-Pokal (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be official information from the DFB-Pokal; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17
End Date
Jun 6, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the DFB-Pokal. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of DFB-Pokal per the rules of DFB-Pokal (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the DFB-Pokal; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"DFB-Pokal: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bayern Munich" at 82%, followed by "VfB Stuttgart" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"DFB-Pokal: Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "DFB-Pokal: Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "DFB-Pokal: Winner" is "Bayern Munich" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "VfB Stuttgart" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "DFB-Pokal: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.