Trader consensus slightly favors Sweden at 52.5% implied probability for their FIFA World Cup Group F opener against Tunisia, driven by their No. 38 FIFA ranking versus Tunisia's No. 44, potent attacking duo of Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres, and momentum from a dramatic late-March playoff win over Poland to qualify. Tunisia's strong qualifiersânine wins, one draw, 10 clean sheetsâsupport their 28.5% chance and the elevated 31% draw probability, but recent absences of defenders Montassar Talbi and Dylan Bronn, plus midfielder Hannibal Mejbri's hamstring injury, weaken their backline. Neutral venue at Estadio BBVA in Monterrey levels the matchup in this Group of Death featuring Netherlands and Japan.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. ¡ UpdatedIf Sweden wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Sweden wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Sweden at 52.5% implied probability for their FIFA World Cup Group F opener against Tunisia, driven by their No. 38 FIFA ranking versus Tunisia's No. 44, potent attacking duo of Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres, and momentum from a dramatic late-March playoff win over Poland to qualify. Tunisia's strong qualifiersânine wins, one draw, 10 clean sheetsâsupport their 28.5% chance and the elevated 31% draw probability, but recent absences of defenders Montassar Talbi and Dylan Bronn, plus midfielder Hannibal Mejbri's hamstring injury, weaken their backline. Neutral venue at Estadio BBVA in Monterrey levels the matchup in this Group of Death featuring Netherlands and Japan.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. ¡ Updated

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