Theft predictions & odds

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Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by...?

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by...?

9%

April 30

$2.3K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 16 days

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

88%

Drake releases Iceman

$21M Vol.

$2M Liq.

811

Ends in 4 months

GTA VI released before June 2026?

GTA VI released before June 2026?

2%

$14M Vol.

$59.1K Liq.

27

Ends in about 2 months

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

38%

$231K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

32

Ends in 7 months

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

11%

$54.8K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

9

Ends in 11 months

Any of the stolen paintings recovered by April 15?

Any of the stolen paintings recovered by April 15?

2%

$2.0K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 1 day

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

45%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

109

Ends in 3 months

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Anthropic CEO arrested?

3%

$146K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

35%

December 31, 2026

$445K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

29

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

9%

$47.6K Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

16%

↑ $4

$615K Vol.

$50.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

54%

NVIDIA (NVDA)

$24.1K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

LoL: Once Upon A Team vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

LoL: Once Upon A Team vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

69%

The Bandits

$141 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Johnny Speeds (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Johnny Speeds (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage

68%

Sinners

$10.5K Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

13%

$4.1K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

8%

$55.3K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs ImmuNe (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs ImmuNe (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

100%

Sashi Academy

$13.0K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

69%

Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar

$13.2K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

2

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Tricked (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Tricked (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage

100%

Alliance

$19.9K Vol.

$31.2K Liq.

Ends in about 5 hours

Counter-Strike: Entropy vs ImmuNe (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: Entropy vs ImmuNe (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

100%

Entropy

$9.3K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Theft.

Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for Theft that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $38.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “GTA 6 launch postponed again?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will happen before GTA VI?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 88% chance to Drake releases Iceman. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Theft predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.