Conservative predictions & odds

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B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

42%

Caroline Elliott

$22.8K Vol.

$54.4K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

29%

$134K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

20%

$3.1K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

13%

$734 Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place

98%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

$11M Vol.

$3M today

$42.7K Liq.

16

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

95%

Moderates

$67.1K Vol.

$55.0K Liq.

9

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: Second Place

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: Second Place

94%

Centro Democrático (CD)

$104K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

9

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

97%

Scottish National Party

$2M Vol.

$80.9K Liq.

9

Ends in 23 days

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

81%

Plaid Cymru

$30.6K Vol.

$45.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 23 days

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

37%

Mark Smith

$7.2K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

OH-01 Republican Primary Winner

OH-01 Republican Primary Winner

52%

Eric Conroy

$13.5K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

CO-03 Republican Primary Winner

CO-03 Republican Primary Winner

96%

Jeff Hurd

$8.0K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

45%

Catalina Lauf

$20.8K Vol.

$37.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

66%

Jim Baird

$1.4K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

16%

↑ $4

$615K Vol.

$50.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

TX-19 Republican Primary Winner

TX-19 Republican Primary Winner

88%

Tom Sell

$65.1K Vol.

$46.1K Liq.

7

Ends in about 1 month

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

70%

Derek Merrin

$8.3K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 21 days

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

$2.0K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$742K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

13

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

$67.3K Vol.

$21.4K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 112 active markets for Conservative that lets you track or trade on predictions like “B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $14.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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