Market icon
Sports·Esports

Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?

Market icon
Sports·Esports

Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?

28% chance
Polymarket
NEW
28% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Spirit's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: sh1ro, magixx, tN1R, zont1x, and donk. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 72.5% implied probability for Team Spirit's CS2 roster remaining unchanged before July, anchored by analyst OverDrive's April 2 statement ruling out alterations ahead of the IEM Cologne Major despite recent struggles. The current starting lineup—donk, sh1ro, magixx (IGL), zont1x, and tN1R—has held steady since December 2025 adjustments benching chopper and zweih while reactivating magixx and zont1x, with no 2026 swaps amid a #9 HLTV ranking and Valve beta #11 drop. Subpar finishes like 7-8th at BLAST Open Rotterdam (losses to PARIVISION) and 5-8th at ESL Pro League Finals underscore chemistry issues post-roster shuffle, yet organizational patience prevails, prioritizing continuity through upcoming events over mid-year disruptions like transfers or benchings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Spirit's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: sh1ro, magixx, tN1R, zont1x, and donk. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$224
End Date
Jul 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 10:35 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Spirit's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: sh1ro, magixx, tN1R, zont1x, and donk. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Spirit's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: sh1ro, magixx, tN1R, zont1x, and donk. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 72.5% implied probability for Team Spirit's CS2 roster remaining unchanged before July, anchored by analyst OverDrive's April 2 statement ruling out alterations ahead of the IEM Cologne Major despite recent struggles. The current starting lineup—donk, sh1ro, magixx (IGL), zont1x, and tN1R—has held steady since December 2025 adjustments benching chopper and zweih while reactivating magixx and zont1x, with no 2026 swaps amid a #9 HLTV ranking and Valve beta #11 drop. Subpar finishes like 7-8th at BLAST Open Rotterdam (losses to PARIVISION) and 5-8th at ESL Pro League Finals underscore chemistry issues post-roster shuffle, yet organizational patience prevails, prioritizing continuity through upcoming events over mid-year disruptions like transfers or benchings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Spirit's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: sh1ro, magixx, tN1R, zont1x, and donk. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$224
End Date
Jul 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 10:35 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Spirit's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: sh1ro, magixx, tN1R, zont1x, and donk. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 28% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 28¢, the market collectively assigns a 28% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?" is 28% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 28% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.