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Sports·IEM Rio 2026

IEM Rio 2026 Winner

Market icon
Sports·IEM Rio 2026

IEM Rio 2026 Winner

Vitality 64%

FURIA 14%

Team Spirit 11%

Natus Vincere 7%

Polymarket

$173,486 Vol.

Vitality 64%

FURIA 14%

Team Spirit 11%

Natus Vincere 7%

Polymarket

$173,486 Vol.

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Vitality

$30,652 Vol.

64%

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FURIA

$10,174 Vol.

14%

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Team Spirit

$10,409 Vol.

11%

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Natus Vincere

$9,358 Vol.

7%

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Falcons

$9,746 Vol.

6%

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MOUZ

$10,892 Vol.

2%

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G2

$11,586 Vol.

1%

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Aurora

$11,136 Vol.

1%

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Legacy

$10,580 Vol.

<1%

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Team Liquid

$7,184 Vol.

<1%

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3DMAX

$9,891 Vol.

<1%

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Passion UA

$12,863 Vol.

<1%

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Gentle Mates

$8,835 Vol.

<1%

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HOTU

$8,057 Vol.

<1%

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B8

$11,497 Vol.

<1%

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RED Canids

$1,638 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Rio 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for April 13th - April 19th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.Trader consensus prices Vitality at a dominant 64.5% implied probability to win IEM Rio 2026, driven by their HLTV world #1 ranking, recent S-tier triumphs including IEM Kraków 2026 grand final over FURIA and PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026, plus a staggering 20-map win streak and 31st consecutive playoffs appearance into this event. Challengers Team Spirit (9.5%), Falcons (9.3%), FURIA (8.5%), and Natus Vincere (6.5%) reflect competitive depth, with Falcons' BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026 upset of FURIA, NaVi's #2 HLTV spot, and FURIA's consistent deep runs despite Vitality head-to-head losses. Stable rosters post-minor 2026 shuffles and group stage openers like Vitality vs. RED Canids underscore the French superteam's edge amid Brazil's home support for FURIA.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Rio 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for April 13th - April 19th, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.
Volume
$173,486
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 3:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Rio 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for April 13th - April 19th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Rio 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for April 13th - April 19th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.Trader consensus prices Vitality at a dominant 64.5% implied probability to win IEM Rio 2026, driven by their HLTV world #1 ranking, recent S-tier triumphs including IEM Kraków 2026 grand final over FURIA and PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026, plus a staggering 20-map win streak and 31st consecutive playoffs appearance into this event. Challengers Team Spirit (9.5%), Falcons (9.3%), FURIA (8.5%), and Natus Vincere (6.5%) reflect competitive depth, with Falcons' BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026 upset of FURIA, NaVi's #2 HLTV spot, and FURIA's consistent deep runs despite Vitality head-to-head losses. Stable rosters post-minor 2026 shuffles and group stage openers like Vitality vs. RED Canids underscore the French superteam's edge amid Brazil's home support for FURIA.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Rio 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for April 13th - April 19th, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.
Volume
$173,486
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 3:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Rio 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for April 13th - April 19th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.

Related

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Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

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Will Solary win EMEA Masters 2026 Winter?

48%
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Will Vitality win the ESL Grand Slam at IEM Rio?

73%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"IEM Rio 2026 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vitality" at 64%, followed by "FURIA" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "IEM Rio 2026 Winner" has generated $173.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "IEM Rio 2026 Winner," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IEM Rio 2026 Winner" is "Vitality" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "FURIA" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IEM Rio 2026 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.