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Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?

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Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?

42% chance
Polymarket
NEW
42% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Bilibili Gaming's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the Bilibili Gaming Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Bilibili_Gaming) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Bin, Wenbo, Xun, Knight, Yxl, Viper, and ON. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Bilibili Gaming's dominant start to the 2026 LPL season, including 1st-place finishes at First Stand 2026 and Split 1, underpins trader consensus implying a 58.5% probability of no roster change before July. The star-laden lineup—featuring top laner Bin, jungler Xun, mid laner Knight, and ADC Viper—has gelled seamlessly since its offseason assembly, delivering consistent macro execution and early-game aggression amid the current patch meta favoring their playstyle. Minor academy movements, like yilai's March promotion and Wenbo's demotion, haven't touched the active five-player roster or substitutes per Leaguepedia. With playoffs looming and a clear MSI path, mid-season swaps remain unlikely for the league frontrunner absent underperformance or scandals.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Bilibili Gaming's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the Bilibili Gaming Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Bilibili_Gaming) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Bin, Wenbo, Xun, Knight, Yxl, Viper, and ON. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$113
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 10:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Bilibili Gaming's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the Bilibili Gaming Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Bilibili_Gaming) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Bin, Wenbo, Xun, Knight, Yxl, Viper, and ON. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Bilibili Gaming's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the Bilibili Gaming Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Bilibili_Gaming) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Bin, Wenbo, Xun, Knight, Yxl, Viper, and ON. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Bilibili Gaming's dominant start to the 2026 LPL season, including 1st-place finishes at First Stand 2026 and Split 1, underpins trader consensus implying a 58.5% probability of no roster change before July. The star-laden lineup—featuring top laner Bin, jungler Xun, mid laner Knight, and ADC Viper—has gelled seamlessly since its offseason assembly, delivering consistent macro execution and early-game aggression amid the current patch meta favoring their playstyle. Minor academy movements, like yilai's March promotion and Wenbo's demotion, haven't touched the active five-player roster or substitutes per Leaguepedia. With playoffs looming and a clear MSI path, mid-season swaps remain unlikely for the league frontrunner absent underperformance or scandals.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Bilibili Gaming's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the Bilibili Gaming Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Bilibili_Gaming) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Bin, Wenbo, Xun, Knight, Yxl, Viper, and ON. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$113
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 10:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Bilibili Gaming's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the Bilibili Gaming Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Bilibili_Gaming) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Bin, Wenbo, Xun, Knight, Yxl, Viper, and ON. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 42% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 42¢, the market collectively assigns a 42% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?" is 42% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 42% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.