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Sports·UFC

UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?

Market icon
Sports·UFC

UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?

Conor McGregor 33%

Mateusz Gamrot 23.9%

Dan Hooker 17.8%

Paddy Pimblett 9%

Polymarket

$50,059 Vol.

Conor McGregor 33%

Mateusz Gamrot 23.9%

Dan Hooker 17.8%

Paddy Pimblett 9%

Polymarket

$50,059 Vol.

Conor McGregor

$2,385 Vol.

33%

Mateusz Gamrot

$4,650 Vol.

24%

Dan Hooker

$20,033 Vol.

18%

Paddy Pimblett

$279 Vol.

9%

Ilia Topuria

$428 Vol.

9%

Justin Gaethje

$291 Vol.

5%

Arman Tsarukyan

$520 Vol.

11%

Benoît Saint Denis

$201 Vol.

24%

Maurício Ruffy

$20,821 Vol.

2%

Alexander Volkanovski

$380 Vol.

1%

Islam Makhachev

$72 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Trader consensus favors Conor McGregor at 35% implied probability as Max Holloway's next opponent following Ariel Helwani's March 26 report positioning "Blessed" as the front-runner for McGregor's lightweight return at International Fight Week on July 11, buoyed by their stylistic clash potential and star power after Holloway's BMF title loss to Charles Oliveira via submission at UFC 326 on March 7. Benoît Saint Denis at 27% reflects post-event matchmaking buzz highlighting the French striker's knockout power and momentum against Holloway's volume striking in the lightweight contenders' ranks, while Mateusz Gamrot's 24% stems from his wrestling pedigree as a top-5 gatekeeper. Dan Hooker's 18% nods to prior BMF card history and shared Hawaiian roots, amid Holloway's ongoing lightweight transition post-featherweight setbacks.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$50,059
End Date
Mar 1, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Trader consensus favors Conor McGregor at 35% implied probability as Max Holloway's next opponent following Ariel Helwani's March 26 report positioning "Blessed" as the front-runner for McGregor's lightweight return at International Fight Week on July 11, buoyed by their stylistic clash potential and star power after Holloway's BMF title loss to Charles Oliveira via submission at UFC 326 on March 7. Benoît Saint Denis at 27% reflects post-event matchmaking buzz highlighting the French striker's knockout power and momentum against Holloway's volume striking in the lightweight contenders' ranks, while Mateusz Gamrot's 24% stems from his wrestling pedigree as a top-5 gatekeeper. Dan Hooker's 18% nods to prior BMF card history and shared Hawaiian roots, amid Holloway's ongoing lightweight transition post-featherweight setbacks.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$50,059
End Date
Mar 1, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Related

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Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?

52%
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Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Charles Oliveira next?

41%
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Will Movsar Evloev fight Alexander Volkanovski next?

85%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Conor McGregor" at 33%, followed by "Mateusz Gamrot" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?" has generated $50.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?" is "Conor McGregor" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mateusz Gamrot" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.