Sports·UFC

Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo

Polymarket
Allan Nascimento
Allan Nascimento
7:00 PMApril 18
Mitch Raposo
Mitch Raposo
$855.78 Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$836 Vol.

Totals

$0 Vol.

Go the Distance?

$0 Vol.

Raposo to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$20 Vol.

Nascimento to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Allan Nascimento" if Allan Nascimento is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Allan Nascimento defeats Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mitch Raposo defeats Allan Nascimento at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 2, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 2, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 2, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Allan Nascimento enters this flyweight prelim bout at UFC Fight Night in Winnipeg on a four-fight win streak, most recently defeating Jafel Filho by unanimous decision in November 2025, leveraging his elite Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu with 16 career submission victories to control opponents on the ground. Challenger Mitch Raposo, riding a one-win streak after unanimous decisioning Azat Maksum in October 2025, seeks to build momentum following two prior UFC losses, bringing wrestling chops and durability but lower striking volume at 1.7 significant strikes per minute versus Nascimento's 3.1. No injuries or withdrawals reported ahead of Friday's weigh-ins, with Nascimento's experience (22-6 record) and stylistic grappling edge shaping trader consensus in the closely watched matchup, though Raposo's resilience poses upset risk in the three-rounder.

This market will resolve to "Allan Nascimento" if Allan Nascimento is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026.

It will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$856
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Allan Nascimento" if Allan Nascimento is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Raposo vs. Nascimento” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Mitch Raposo and the Allan Nascimento, scheduled for April 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Nascimento is currently priced at 69¢ (69% implied probability) and Raposo at 32¢ (32%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Raposo vs. Nascimento” market has generated $856 in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Raposo vs. Nascimento,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows MIT2 at 32¢ and ALL2 at 69¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Raposo vs. Nascimento” show Allan Nascimento at 69¢ (69% implied probability) and Mitch Raposo at 32¢ (32%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Raposo vs. Nascimento” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Sports·UFC

Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo

Polymarket
Allan Nascimento
Allan Nascimento
7:00 PMApril 18
Mitch Raposo
Mitch Raposo
$855.78 Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$836 Vol.

Totals

$0 Vol.

Go the Distance?

$0 Vol.

Raposo to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$20 Vol.

Nascimento to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Allan Nascimento" if Allan Nascimento is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Allan Nascimento defeats Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mitch Raposo defeats Allan Nascimento at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 2, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 2, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 2, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Allan Nascimento enters this flyweight prelim bout at UFC Fight Night in Winnipeg on a four-fight win streak, most recently defeating Jafel Filho by unanimous decision in November 2025, leveraging his elite Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu with 16 career submission victories to control opponents on the ground. Challenger Mitch Raposo, riding a one-win streak after unanimous decisioning Azat Maksum in October 2025, seeks to build momentum following two prior UFC losses, bringing wrestling chops and durability but lower striking volume at 1.7 significant strikes per minute versus Nascimento's 3.1. No injuries or withdrawals reported ahead of Friday's weigh-ins, with Nascimento's experience (22-6 record) and stylistic grappling edge shaping trader consensus in the closely watched matchup, though Raposo's resilience poses upset risk in the three-rounder.

This market will resolve to "Allan Nascimento" if Allan Nascimento is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026.

It will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$856
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Allan Nascimento" if Allan Nascimento is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Raposo vs. Nascimento” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Mitch Raposo and the Allan Nascimento, scheduled for April 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Nascimento is currently priced at 69¢ (69% implied probability) and Raposo at 32¢ (32%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Raposo vs. Nascimento” market has generated $856 in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Raposo vs. Nascimento,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows MIT2 at 32¢ and ALL2 at 69¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Raposo vs. Nascimento” show Allan Nascimento at 69¢ (69% implied probability) and Mitch Raposo at 32¢ (32%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Raposo vs. Nascimento” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.