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Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Market icon

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Justin Herbert 84%

Jahmyr Gibbs 84%

Christian McCaffrey 84%

Derrick Henry 84%

Polymarket
NEW

Justin Herbert 84%

Jahmyr Gibbs 84%

Christian McCaffrey 84%

Derrick Henry 84%

Polymarket
NEW

Justin Herbert

$51 Vol.

84%

Jahmyr Gibbs

$0 Vol.

84%

Christian McCaffrey

$0 Vol.

84%

Derrick Henry

$0 Vol.

84%

Sam Darnold

$2 Vol.

84%

De'Von Achane

$0 Vol.

84%

Jaxson Dart

$0 Vol.

84%

Brock Purdy

$0 Vol.

84%

Bo Nix

$0 Vol.

84%

Baker Mayfield

$0 Vol.

84%

Lamar Jackson

$0 Vol.

84%

Matthew Stafford

$0 Vol.

84%

Dak Prescott

$0 Vol.

84%

Jalen Hurts

$10 Vol.

84%

Justin Jefferson

$0 Vol.

84%

Jaxson Smith-Njigba

$0 Vol.

84%

Jordan Love

$0 Vol.

84%

Myles Garrett

$0 Vol.

84%

Jared Goff

$0 Vol.

84%

Trevor Lawrence

$0 Vol.

83%

Patrick Mahomes

$0 Vol.

69%

Saquon Barkley

$0 Vol.

68%

Joe Burrow

$3,721 Vol.

24%

Drake Maye

$5 Vol.

-

Josh Allen

$38 Vol.

53%

Caleb Williams

$5 Vol.

-

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Josh Allen leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability for 2026 NFL MVP after Buffalo's aggressive free agency moves bolstered their roster around the dual-threat quarterback, elevating the Bills in post-offseason power rankings amid a favorable AFC landscape. The market reflects a highly competitive field, with Brock Purdy (44%) and Baker Mayfield (44%) close behind on stable 49ers and Buccaneers squads—Mayfield buoyed by recent extension buzz from Tampa Bay brass—while Justin Herbert (43.5%) benefits from Chargers' health and Jahmyr Gibbs (43.5%) from Detroit's explosive offense. Recent free agency signings (March 2026) and no major injuries have kept probabilities clustered tightly among elite QBs and select RBs/WRs/edge rushers, underscoring parity entering draft season.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,831
End Date
Feb 15, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Josh Allen leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability for 2026 NFL MVP after Buffalo's aggressive free agency moves bolstered their roster around the dual-threat quarterback, elevating the Bills in post-offseason power rankings amid a favorable AFC landscape. The market reflects a highly competitive field, with Brock Purdy (44%) and Baker Mayfield (44%) close behind on stable 49ers and Buccaneers squads—Mayfield buoyed by recent extension buzz from Tampa Bay brass—while Justin Herbert (43.5%) benefits from Chargers' health and Jahmyr Gibbs (43.5%) from Detroit's explosive offense. Recent free agency signings (March 2026) and no major injuries have kept probabilities clustered tightly among elite QBs and select RBs/WRs/edge rushers, underscoring parity entering draft season.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,831
End Date
Feb 15, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Josh Allen" at 53%, followed by "Justin Herbert" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is "Josh Allen" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Justin Herbert" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.