Polymarket traders price a 49% implied probability for Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) shares closing the week of April 13 between $4.00 and $5.00, aligning with the stock's recent consolidation around $4.30-$4.40 after testing support near $4.12 in a potential double-bottom formation. This positioning reflects operational resilience shown in February's strong Q4 2025 earnings—featuring improved contribution margins despite housing market headwinds—and guidance for Q1 2026 revenue dipping ~10% quarter-over-quarter amid low inventory and elevated mortgage rates. The 34.5% odds for $3.00-$4.00 capture downside risks from real estate volatility, while 25.9% for $6.00-$7.00 anticipates a breakout above resistance, with Q1 earnings due May 5 as the next major catalyst influencing sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.00-$5.00 39%
$2.00-$3.00 7.0%
$6.00-$7.00 2.0%
$0-$1.00 1.9%
<$0
<1%
$0-$1.00
2%
$1.00-$2.00
23%
$2.00-$3.00
7%
$3.00-$4.00
35%
$4.00-$5.00
49%
$5.00-$6.00
23%
$6.00-$7.00
26%
$7.00-$8.00
32%
$8.00-$9.00
1%
>$9.00
33%
$4.00-$5.00 39%
$2.00-$3.00 7.0%
$6.00-$7.00 2.0%
$0-$1.00 1.9%
<$0
<1%
$0-$1.00
2%
$1.00-$2.00
23%
$2.00-$3.00
7%
$3.00-$4.00
35%
$4.00-$5.00
49%
$5.00-$6.00
23%
$6.00-$7.00
26%
$7.00-$8.00
32%
$8.00-$9.00
1%
>$9.00
33%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Apr 10, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 49% implied probability for Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) shares closing the week of April 13 between $4.00 and $5.00, aligning with the stock's recent consolidation around $4.30-$4.40 after testing support near $4.12 in a potential double-bottom formation. This positioning reflects operational resilience shown in February's strong Q4 2025 earnings—featuring improved contribution margins despite housing market headwinds—and guidance for Q1 2026 revenue dipping ~10% quarter-over-quarter amid low inventory and elevated mortgage rates. The 34.5% odds for $3.00-$4.00 capture downside risks from real estate volatility, while 25.9% for $6.00-$7.00 anticipates a breakout above resistance, with Q1 earnings due May 5 as the next major catalyst influencing sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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