Market icon
World·Thailand Election

# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?

Market icon
World·Thailand Election

# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?

110+ <1%

Polymarket

$309,415 Vol.

110+ <1%

Polymarket

$309,415 Vol.

110+

$138,928 Vol.

<1%

The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon). This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election. This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.Pheu Thai Party's commanding trader consensus for 70–79 seats in Thailand's February 8, 2026 snap House of Representatives election stems from certified results showing exactly 74 seats won, placing third behind Bhumjaithai's 193 and People's Party's 118, as announced by the Election Commission on March 4 after tallying 499 of 500 constituencies. Pre-election polls underestimated conservative surges fueled by border disputes with Cambodia and nationalist rhetoric, while Pheu Thai suffered rural voter shifts away from its populist base amid economic discontent and lower turnout. Coalition negotiations now position Pheu Thai as a junior partner; only a successful challenge to the final seat or procedural reversal—highly improbable given certification—could shift odds toward 110+.

The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.

This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
Volume
$309,415
End Date
Feb 8, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon). This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election. This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Final review

The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon). This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election. This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.Pheu Thai Party's commanding trader consensus for 70–79 seats in Thailand's February 8, 2026 snap House of Representatives election stems from certified results showing exactly 74 seats won, placing third behind Bhumjaithai's 193 and People's Party's 118, as announced by the Election Commission on March 4 after tallying 499 of 500 constituencies. Pre-election polls underestimated conservative surges fueled by border disputes with Cambodia and nationalist rhetoric, while Pheu Thai suffered rural voter shifts away from its populist base amid economic discontent and lower turnout. Coalition negotiations now position Pheu Thai as a junior partner; only a successful challenge to the final seat or procedural reversal—highly improbable given certification—could shift odds toward 110+.

The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.

This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
Volume
$309,415
End Date
Feb 8, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon). This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election. This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Final review

Related

Market icon

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

10%
Market icon

Will the People Power Party win less than or equal to 1 seat in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?

32%
Market icon

Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 90-94 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

30%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "70–79" at 100%, followed by "110+" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?" has generated $309.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?" is "70–79" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "110+" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.