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Sports·Hank Aaron

MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner

Market icon
Sports·Hank Aaron

MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner

Shohei Ohtani 43%

Juan Soto 17%

Ronald Acuña Jr. 12.2%

Kyle Schwarber 6%

Polymarket

$114,686 Vol.

Shohei Ohtani 43%

Juan Soto 17%

Ronald Acuña Jr. 12.2%

Kyle Schwarber 6%

Polymarket

$114,686 Vol.

Shohei Ohtani

$3,221 Vol.

43%

Juan Soto

$30,151 Vol.

17%

Ronald Acuña Jr.

$158 Vol.

12%

Kyle Schwarber

$80,445 Vol.

26%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$88 Vol.

2%

Bryce Harper

$84 Vol.

2%

Mookie Betts

$84 Vol.

2%

Ketel Marte

$122 Vol.

1%

Francisco Lindor

$103 Vol.

<1%

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$231 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shohei Ohtani commands 42.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite for the NL Hank Aaron Award, reflecting his elite power-speed profile and full-time DH role in the Dodgers' stacked lineup, where he consistently posts top-tier OPS and RBI totals. Juan Soto's 16% share stems from his massive Mets contract and proven on-base prowess, positioning him for RBI opportunities in Queens. Kyle Schwarber (15%) draws support from his leadoff home run explosions and Phillies' offensive depth, while Ronald Acuña Jr. (13.6%) rebounds from prior injured list time with MVP-level batting average and stolen bases for the Braves. With the 2026 season barely two weeks old, no major injuries, trades, or roster moves in the past 30 days have altered sentiment, leaving odds anchored to offseason projections and spring training form.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$114,686
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shohei Ohtani commands 42.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite for the NL Hank Aaron Award, reflecting his elite power-speed profile and full-time DH role in the Dodgers' stacked lineup, where he consistently posts top-tier OPS and RBI totals. Juan Soto's 16% share stems from his massive Mets contract and proven on-base prowess, positioning him for RBI opportunities in Queens. Kyle Schwarber (15%) draws support from his leadoff home run explosions and Phillies' offensive depth, while Ronald Acuña Jr. (13.6%) rebounds from prior injured list time with MVP-level batting average and stolen bases for the Braves. With the 2026 season barely two weeks old, no major injuries, trades, or roster moves in the past 30 days have altered sentiment, leaving odds anchored to offseason projections and spring training form.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$114,686
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

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Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?

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Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

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Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

26%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shohei Ohtani" at 43%, followed by "Kyle Schwarber" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" has generated $114.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" is "Shohei Ohtani" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kyle Schwarber" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.