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Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?

Market icon

Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?

Project Hail Mary 99.3%

Hoppers <1%

The Bride <1%

Polymarket

$113,543 Vol.

Project Hail Mary 99.3%

Hoppers <1%

The Bride <1%

Polymarket

$113,543 Vol.

Project Hail Mary

$32,355 Vol.

99%

Hoppers

$73,428 Vol.

1%

The Bride

$7,760 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in March 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and April 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Project Hail Mary commands a 99.3% implied probability as the highest domestically grossing March 2026 release through April 30, boasting over $256 million in U.S. ticket sales after a record-breaking $80.5 million opening weekend—the biggest debut of the year—fueled by Ryan Gosling's star power, Andy Weir's proven IP akin to The Martian, glowing reviews, and robust word-of-mouth holding strong through multiple weekends. Pixar's Hoppers trails at $157 million with solid family appeal but lacks the explosive legs, while The Bride! bombed at just $12.7 million amid poor critical reception and audience rejection. With three weeks left, an upset would require an improbable collapse for Hail Mary, like premium format pullbacks, or a late Hoppers surge from Easter boosts—both low-likelihood given current trajectories and screen allocations.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in March 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and April 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$113,543
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 6:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in March 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and April 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in March 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and April 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Project Hail Mary commands a 99.3% implied probability as the highest domestically grossing March 2026 release through April 30, boasting over $256 million in U.S. ticket sales after a record-breaking $80.5 million opening weekend—the biggest debut of the year—fueled by Ryan Gosling's star power, Andy Weir's proven IP akin to The Martian, glowing reviews, and robust word-of-mouth holding strong through multiple weekends. Pixar's Hoppers trails at $157 million with solid family appeal but lacks the explosive legs, while The Bride! bombed at just $12.7 million amid poor critical reception and audience rejection. With three weeks left, an upset would require an improbable collapse for Hail Mary, like premium format pullbacks, or a late Hoppers surge from Easter boosts—both low-likelihood given current trajectories and screen allocations.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in March 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and April 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$113,543
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 6:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in March 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and April 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Project Hail Mary" at 99%, followed by "Hoppers" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?" has generated $113.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?" is "Project Hail Mary" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hoppers" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.