Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced a 100% implied probability for Goldman Sachs (GS) to beat Q1 2026 quarterly earnings, driven by the firm's official pre-market release today reporting GAAP diluted EPS of $17.55—substantially exceeding the $15.95 Street consensus fixed at market creation—and net revenues of $17.23 billion against $16.93 billion expected. This outperformance stems from record equity trading revenues within the Global Banking & Markets segment, alongside a robust 19.8% annualized return on common equity (ROE), reflecting sustained client activity amid volatile markets. With results verified via regulatory filings, near-certain resolution to Yes reflects the wisdom of crowds backed by real capital. Tail risks remain minimal but could include rare accounting restatements or resolution disputes over GAAP metrics, though none are evident.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Apr 13, 2026
NEW
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Apr 13, 2026
As of market creation, Goldman Sachs is estimated to release earnings on April 13, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Goldman Sachs's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $15.95 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Goldman Sachs reports GAAP EPS greater than $15.95 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Goldman Sachs releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced a 100% implied probability for Goldman Sachs (GS) to beat Q1 2026 quarterly earnings, driven by the firm's official pre-market release today reporting GAAP diluted EPS of $17.55—substantially exceeding the $15.95 Street consensus fixed at market creation—and net revenues of $17.23 billion against $16.93 billion expected. This outperformance stems from record equity trading revenues within the Global Banking & Markets segment, alongside a robust 19.8% annualized return on common equity (ROE), reflecting sustained client activity amid volatile markets. With results verified via regulatory filings, near-certain resolution to Yes reflects the wisdom of crowds backed by real capital. Tail risks remain minimal but could include rare accounting restatements or resolution disputes over GAAP metrics, though none are evident.
As of market creation, Goldman Sachs is estimated to release earnings on April 13, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Goldman Sachs's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $15.95 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Goldman Sachs reports GAAP EPS greater than $15.95 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Goldman Sachs releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Goldman Sachs releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 7:55 PM ET
Volume
$6,390End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 7:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, Goldman Sachs is estimated to release earnings on April 13, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Goldman Sachs's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $15.95 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Goldman Sachs reports GAAP EPS greater than $15.95 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Goldman Sachs releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced a 100% implied probability for Goldman Sachs (GS) to beat Q1 2026 quarterly earnings, driven by the firm's official pre-market release today reporting GAAP diluted EPS of $17.55—substantially exceeding the $15.95 Street consensus fixed at market creation—and net revenues of $17.23 billion against $16.93 billion expected. This outperformance stems from record equity trading revenues within the Global Banking & Markets segment, alongside a robust 19.8% annualized return on common equity (ROE), reflecting sustained client activity amid volatile markets. With results verified via regulatory filings, near-certain resolution to Yes reflects the wisdom of crowds backed by real capital. Tail risks remain minimal but could include rare accounting restatements or resolution disputes over GAAP metrics, though none are evident.
As of market creation, Goldman Sachs is estimated to release earnings on April 13, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Goldman Sachs's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $15.95 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Goldman Sachs reports GAAP EPS greater than $15.95 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Goldman Sachs releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Goldman Sachs releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Volume
$6,390End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 7:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced a 100% implied probability for Goldman Sachs (GS) to beat Q1 2026 quarterly earnings, driven by the firm's official pre-market release today reporting GAAP diluted EPS of $17.55—substantially exceeding the $15.95 Street consensus fixed at market creation—and net revenues of $17.23 billion against $16.93 billion expected. This outperformance stems from record equity trading revenues within the Global Banking & Markets segment, alongside a robust 19.8% annualized return on common equity (ROE), reflecting sustained client activity amid volatile markets. With results verified via regulatory filings, near-certain resolution to Yes reflects the wisdom of crowds backed by real capital. Tail risks remain minimal but could include rare accounting restatements or resolution disputes over GAAP metrics, though none are evident.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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