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Sports·FIDE

2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner

Market icon
Sports·FIDE

2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner

Zhu Jiner 54%

Vaishali R 27.6%

Other (incl. Anna Muzychuk) 11.9%

Bibisara Assaubayeva 10.7%

Polymarket

$31,689 Vol.

Zhu Jiner 54%

Vaishali R 27.6%

Other (incl. Anna Muzychuk) 11.9%

Bibisara Assaubayeva 10.7%

Polymarket

$31,689 Vol.

Zhu Jiner

$4,175 Vol.

54%

Vaishali R

$4,705 Vol.

28%

Other (incl. Anna Muzychuk)

$6,412 Vol.

12%

Bibisara Assaubayeva

$3,512 Vol.

11%

Kateryna Lagno

$3,362 Vol.

1%

Tan Zhongyi

$2,032 Vol.

1%

Aleksandra Goryachkina

$3,817 Vol.

<1%

Divya Deshmukh

$3,593 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhu Jiner's emphatic round-12 victory over tournament leader Vaishali Rameshbabu with Black has tied them at 7/12 points with two rounds remaining in the FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament 2026, driving trader consensus to price Zhu as 54% implied probability favorite amid her top-seeded 2578 Elo rating and consistent form. Vaishali's 27.1% standing reflects her prior sole lead after winning the FIDE Grand Swiss twice and strong head-to-head history, though the setback tempers expectations. Bibisara Assaubayeva (10.6%) and Anna Muzychuk (in "Other" at 11.1%) lurk at +1 scores, buoyed by earlier upsets like Bibisara's round-3 win over Zhu, keeping the round-robin wide open for the Women's World Championship challenger.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$31,689
End Date
Apr 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 11:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhu Jiner's emphatic round-12 victory over tournament leader Vaishali Rameshbabu with Black has tied them at 7/12 points with two rounds remaining in the FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament 2026, driving trader consensus to price Zhu as 54% implied probability favorite amid her top-seeded 2578 Elo rating and consistent form. Vaishali's 27.1% standing reflects her prior sole lead after winning the FIDE Grand Swiss twice and strong head-to-head history, though the setback tempers expectations. Bibisara Assaubayeva (10.6%) and Anna Muzychuk (in "Other" at 11.1%) lurk at +1 scores, buoyed by earlier upsets like Bibisara's round-3 win over Zhu, keeping the round-robin wide open for the Women's World Championship challenger.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$31,689
End Date
Apr 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 11:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 28 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zhu Jiner" at 54%, followed by "Vaishali R" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner" has generated $31.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner" is "Zhu Jiner" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vaishali R" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.