Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin Bundesliga relegation scrap between mid-table strugglers FC St. Pauli (16th) and 1. FC Köln (15th, two points ahead), with St. Pauli's home edge at Millerntor-Stadion tipping implied probabilities to 39.5% for the hosts over Köln's 32% and draw at 29.5%. St. Pauli's recent 1-1 draw at Union Berlin offered faint hope after eight winless games and fewest league goals scored, but a midweek 0-5 thrashing by Bayern exposed defensive frailties. Köln, unbeaten in seven head-to-heads (five wins), gained momentum from a gritty recent victory over Werder Bremen, though both sides' poor form and high stakes keep outcomes tightly bunched.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf FC St. Pauli 1910 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...If FC St. Pauli 1910 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin Bundesliga relegation scrap between mid-table strugglers FC St. Pauli (16th) and 1. FC Köln (15th, two points ahead), with St. Pauli's home edge at Millerntor-Stadion tipping implied probabilities to 39.5% for the hosts over Köln's 32% and draw at 29.5%. St. Pauli's recent 1-1 draw at Union Berlin offered faint hope after eight winless games and fewest league goals scored, but a midweek 0-5 thrashing by Bayern exposed defensive frailties. Köln, unbeaten in seven head-to-heads (five wins), gained momentum from a gritty recent victory over Werder Bremen, though both sides' poor form and high stakes keep outcomes tightly bunched.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions