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Sports·NFL

Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?

Market icon
Sports·NFL

Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?

26% chance
Polymarket
NEW
26% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Chicago Bears franchise of the NFL officially announce a plan to move and play their home games permanently anywhere outside of the state of Illinois by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, any temporary change in venue will not be considered. For the purpose of this market, no naming changes will be taken into consideration, only official announcements about the home playing field of the Chicago Bears franchise. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chicago Bears franchise and/or the NFL.Chicago Bears president and CEO Kevin Warren indicated on April 1 that the franchise targets a late spring or early summer decision on its new enclosed stadium site, weighing Arlington Heights in Illinois—where the team owns 326 acres and has committed over $2 billion—against a competing offer from Hammond, Indiana. Trader consensus at 63% "No" reflects Bears' sunk costs and property ownership in the Chicago suburbs, alongside Illinois lawmakers advancing PILOT tax incentives and property tax relief legislation to retain the team, offsetting Indiana's aggressive public funding push amid stalled Soldier Field lease talks. No official relocation announcement has emerged, prioritizing proximity to the core fanbase and NFC North rivalry dynamics over cross-state logistics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Chicago Bears franchise of the NFL officially announce a plan to move and play their home games permanently anywhere outside of the state of Illinois by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, any temporary change in venue will not be considered.

For the purpose of this market, no naming changes will be taken into consideration, only official announcements about the home playing field of the Chicago Bears franchise.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chicago Bears franchise and/or the NFL.
Volume
$5,396
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Feb 21, 2026, 12:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Chicago Bears franchise of the NFL officially announce a plan to move and play their home games permanently anywhere outside of the state of Illinois by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, any temporary change in venue will not be considered. For the purpose of this market, no naming changes will be taken into consideration, only official announcements about the home playing field of the Chicago Bears franchise. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chicago Bears franchise and/or the NFL.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Chicago Bears franchise of the NFL officially announce a plan to move and play their home games permanently anywhere outside of the state of Illinois by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, any temporary change in venue will not be considered. For the purpose of this market, no naming changes will be taken into consideration, only official announcements about the home playing field of the Chicago Bears franchise. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chicago Bears franchise and/or the NFL.Chicago Bears president and CEO Kevin Warren indicated on April 1 that the franchise targets a late spring or early summer decision on its new enclosed stadium site, weighing Arlington Heights in Illinois—where the team owns 326 acres and has committed over $2 billion—against a competing offer from Hammond, Indiana. Trader consensus at 63% "No" reflects Bears' sunk costs and property ownership in the Chicago suburbs, alongside Illinois lawmakers advancing PILOT tax incentives and property tax relief legislation to retain the team, offsetting Indiana's aggressive public funding push amid stalled Soldier Field lease talks. No official relocation announcement has emerged, prioritizing proximity to the core fanbase and NFC North rivalry dynamics over cross-state logistics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Chicago Bears franchise of the NFL officially announce a plan to move and play their home games permanently anywhere outside of the state of Illinois by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, any temporary change in venue will not be considered.

For the purpose of this market, no naming changes will be taken into consideration, only official announcements about the home playing field of the Chicago Bears franchise.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chicago Bears franchise and/or the NFL.
Volume
$5,396
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Feb 21, 2026, 12:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Chicago Bears franchise of the NFL officially announce a plan to move and play their home games permanently anywhere outside of the state of Illinois by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, any temporary change in venue will not be considered. For the purpose of this market, no naming changes will be taken into consideration, only official announcements about the home playing field of the Chicago Bears franchise. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chicago Bears franchise and/or the NFL.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 35% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 35¢, the market collectively assigns a 35% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?" is 35% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 35% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.