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Tech·Big Tech

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Market icon
Tech·Big Tech

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

75% chance
Polymarket

$107,464 Vol.

75% chance
Polymarket

$107,464 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.Paramount Skydance's $111 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, valued at $31 per share, has solidified trader consensus at 75% implied probability of closing by year-end, driven by the definitive merger agreement signed February 27 after outbidding Netflix, recent $24 billion commitments from Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds covering over 20% of financing, and sealed debt facilities. Warner Bros. Discovery scheduled a shareholder vote for April 23, with the board unanimously recommending approval, positioning the deal for a targeted Q3 close amid streaming consolidation pressures. Antitrust scrutiny from California regulators and Hollywood protests introduces uncertainty, but secured funding and momentum outweigh risks in trader sentiment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Volume
$107,464
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.Paramount Skydance's $111 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, valued at $31 per share, has solidified trader consensus at 75% implied probability of closing by year-end, driven by the definitive merger agreement signed February 27 after outbidding Netflix, recent $24 billion commitments from Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds covering over 20% of financing, and sealed debt facilities. Warner Bros. Discovery scheduled a shareholder vote for April 23, with the board unanimously recommending approval, positioning the deal for a targeted Q3 close amid streaming consolidation pressures. Antitrust scrutiny from California regulators and Hollywood protests introduces uncertainty, but secured funding and momentum outweigh risks in trader sentiment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Volume
$107,464
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 75% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 75¢, the market collectively assigns a 75% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?" has generated $107.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?" is 75% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 75% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.