Nathan MacKinnon's league-leading 52 goals and 126 points, paired with the Avalanche's strong Central Division standing and playoff positioning, anchor his 56.5% implied probability as trader consensus Hart Trophy favorite, reflecting his carry-job value amid a tight late-season race. Connor McDavid's NHL-best 133 points (86 assists) and recent five-point outburst powered Edmonton's wild-card surge, elevating him to 21.9% as the Art Ross frontrunner. Nikita Kucherov's resurgence to top-three scoring for a competitive Lightning squad yields 10.8%, while Macklin Celebrini's franchise-record pace (110 points) on the surprising Sharks positions him at 4.3% as a Calder-Hart dark horse. With two weeks left, injury reports and final standings will dictate voter sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNathan MacKinnon 58%
Connor McDavid 26.3%
Nikita Kucherov 10.8%
Macklin Celebrini 4.3%
$263,383 Vol.
$263,383 Vol.
Nathan MacKinnon
58%
Connor McDavid
22%
Nikita Kucherov
11%
Macklin Celebrini
4%
Zach Werenski
<1%
Kirill Kaprizov
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Auston Matthews
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
Cale Makar
<1%
Jack Hughes
<1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Mitchell Marner
<1%
Quinn Hughes
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Igor Shesterkin
<1%
Artemi Panarin
<1%
William Nylander
<1%
Miro Heiskanen
<1%
Dylan Larkin
<1%
Lane Hutson
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Nico Hischier
<1%
Logan Thompson
<1%
Kyle Connor
<1%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
<1%
Jonathan Huberdeau
<1%
Alex DeBrincat
<1%
Chris Kreider
<1%
Tomas Hertl
<1%
Elias Lindholm
<1%
Jonathan Toews
<1%
Logan Stankoven
<1%
Trevor Zegras
<1%
Nikolaj Ehlers
<1%
Claude Giroux
<1%
Brock Faber
<1%
Matty Beniers
<1%
Ryan O'Reilly
<1%
Dylan Strome
<1%
Tage Thompson
<1%
Jason Robertson
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Brad Marchand
<1%
Timo Meier
<1%
Zach Hyman
<1%
Evan Bouchard
<1%
Patrick Kane
<1%
Brady Tkachuk
<1%
Juraj Slafkovsky
<1%
Carter Verhaeghe
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Wyatt Johnston
<1%
Matvei Michkov
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Mathew Barzal
<1%
Roman Josi
<1%
Cole Caufield
<1%
Brock Boeser
<1%
Andrei Svechnikov
<1%
Mika Zibanejad
<1%
Matt Duchene
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Anze Kopitar
<1%
Mark Stone
<1%
Filip Gustavsson
<1%
Dustin Wolf
<1%
Jordan Binnington
<1%
Jesper Bratt
<1%
Ilya Sorokin
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Patrik Laine
<1%
Elias Pettersson
<1%
Mackenzie Blackwood
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Filip Forsberg
<1%
Tim Stutzle
<1%
Adrian Kempe
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Victor Hedman
<1%
Quinton Byfield
<1%
Kirill Marchenko
<1%
Rasmus Dahlin
<1%
Aleksander Barkov
<1%
Matthew Tkachuk
<1%
Connor Bedard
<1%
Roope Hintz
<1%
Sam Reinhart
<1%
John-Jason Peterka
<1%
Brayden Point
<1%
J.T. Miller
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Owen Tippett
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Steven Stamkos
<1%
Travis Konecny
<1%
Alexander Ovechkin
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Robert Thomas
<1%
Ivan Demidov
<1%
Juuse Saros
<1%
Jordan Kyrou
<1%
Evgeni Malkin
<1%
Adam Fox
<1%
Alexis Lafrenière
<1%
Nazem Kadri
<1%
Lucas Raymond
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Mark Scheifele
<1%
Will Smith
<1%
Jake Guentzel
<1%
Matt Boldy
<1%
Erik Karlsson
<1%
Cutter Gauthier
<1%
Kevin Fiala
<1%
Nathan MacKinnon 58%
Connor McDavid 26.3%
Nikita Kucherov 10.8%
Macklin Celebrini 4.3%
$263,383 Vol.
$263,383 Vol.
Nathan MacKinnon
58%
Connor McDavid
22%
Nikita Kucherov
11%
Macklin Celebrini
4%
Zach Werenski
<1%
Kirill Kaprizov
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Auston Matthews
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
Cale Makar
<1%
Jack Hughes
<1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Mitchell Marner
<1%
Quinn Hughes
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Igor Shesterkin
<1%
Artemi Panarin
<1%
William Nylander
<1%
Miro Heiskanen
<1%
Dylan Larkin
<1%
Lane Hutson
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Nico Hischier
<1%
Logan Thompson
<1%
Kyle Connor
<1%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
<1%
Jonathan Huberdeau
<1%
Alex DeBrincat
<1%
Chris Kreider
<1%
Tomas Hertl
<1%
Elias Lindholm
<1%
Jonathan Toews
<1%
Logan Stankoven
<1%
Trevor Zegras
<1%
Nikolaj Ehlers
<1%
Claude Giroux
<1%
Brock Faber
<1%
Matty Beniers
<1%
Ryan O'Reilly
<1%
Dylan Strome
<1%
Tage Thompson
<1%
Jason Robertson
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Brad Marchand
<1%
Timo Meier
<1%
Zach Hyman
<1%
Evan Bouchard
<1%
Patrick Kane
<1%
Brady Tkachuk
<1%
Juraj Slafkovsky
<1%
Carter Verhaeghe
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Wyatt Johnston
<1%
Matvei Michkov
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Mathew Barzal
<1%
Roman Josi
<1%
Cole Caufield
<1%
Brock Boeser
<1%
Andrei Svechnikov
<1%
Mika Zibanejad
<1%
Matt Duchene
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Anze Kopitar
<1%
Mark Stone
<1%
Filip Gustavsson
<1%
Dustin Wolf
<1%
Jordan Binnington
<1%
Jesper Bratt
<1%
Ilya Sorokin
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Patrik Laine
<1%
Elias Pettersson
<1%
Mackenzie Blackwood
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Filip Forsberg
<1%
Tim Stutzle
<1%
Adrian Kempe
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Victor Hedman
<1%
Quinton Byfield
<1%
Kirill Marchenko
<1%
Rasmus Dahlin
<1%
Aleksander Barkov
<1%
Matthew Tkachuk
<1%
Connor Bedard
<1%
Roope Hintz
<1%
Sam Reinhart
<1%
John-Jason Peterka
<1%
Brayden Point
<1%
J.T. Miller
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Owen Tippett
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Steven Stamkos
<1%
Travis Konecny
<1%
Alexander Ovechkin
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Robert Thomas
<1%
Ivan Demidov
<1%
Juuse Saros
<1%
Jordan Kyrou
<1%
Evgeni Malkin
<1%
Adam Fox
<1%
Alexis Lafrenière
<1%
Nazem Kadri
<1%
Lucas Raymond
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Mark Scheifele
<1%
Will Smith
<1%
Jake Guentzel
<1%
Matt Boldy
<1%
Erik Karlsson
<1%
Cutter Gauthier
<1%
Kevin Fiala
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Hart Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 5:33 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Hart Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nathan MacKinnon's league-leading 52 goals and 126 points, paired with the Avalanche's strong Central Division standing and playoff positioning, anchor his 56.5% implied probability as trader consensus Hart Trophy favorite, reflecting his carry-job value amid a tight late-season race. Connor McDavid's NHL-best 133 points (86 assists) and recent five-point outburst powered Edmonton's wild-card surge, elevating him to 21.9% as the Art Ross frontrunner. Nikita Kucherov's resurgence to top-three scoring for a competitive Lightning squad yields 10.8%, while Macklin Celebrini's franchise-record pace (110 points) on the surprising Sharks positions him at 4.3% as a Calder-Hart dark horse. With two weeks left, injury reports and final standings will dictate voter sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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