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Sports·NCAA Football

2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick

Market icon
Sports·NCAA Football

2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick

Arvell Reese 50%

David Bailey 48%

Sonny Styles 1.3%

Reuben Bain Jr. 1.1%

Polymarket

$242,242 Vol.

Arvell Reese 50%

David Bailey 48%

Sonny Styles 1.3%

Reuben Bain Jr. 1.1%

Polymarket

$242,242 Vol.

Arvell Reese

$9,619 Vol.

50%

David Bailey

$49,598 Vol.

48%

Sonny Styles

$3,206 Vol.

1%

Reuben Bain Jr.

$5,088 Vol.

1%

T.J. Parker

$1,992 Vol.

1%

Carson Beck

$2,750 Vol.

1%

Ty Simpson

$4,135 Vol.

1%

Jeremiyah Love

$3,169 Vol.

<1%

Francis Mauigoa

$4,203 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Mendoza

$26,700 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Downs

$3,053 Vol.

<1%

Carnell Tate

$3,555 Vol.

<1%

Garrett Nussmeier

$12,303 Vol.

<1%

Dante Moore

$100,303 Vol.

<1%

Jordyn Tyson

$2,586 Vol.

<1%

Nico Iamaleava

$1,728 Vol.

<1%

Drew Allar

$1,097 Vol.

<1%

Kadyn Proctor

$831 Vol.

<1%

Trevor Goosby

$1,007 Vol.

<1%

Peter Woods

$817 Vol.

<1%

LT Overton

$1,329 Vol.

<1%

Keldric Faulk

$1,307 Vol.

<1%

Kayden McDonald

$1,780 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.New York Jets hold the No. 2 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft after a 3-14 finish in 2025, fueling trader consensus on elite edge rushers and versatile linebackers to address their league-worst pass rush; implied probabilities cluster tightly around 49-50% for James Pearce Jr., Arvell Reese, Kelvin Banks Jr., Malaki Starks, and David Bailey due to standout combine and pro day performances elevating multiple prospects equally. Ohio State's Reese impressed with a 4.46-second 40-yard dash and top-30 visits to the Jets, while Texas Tech's Bailey led college football with 15 sacks last season per scouting reports; Georgia safety Starks and Texas OT Banks offer scheme fits amid mock draft splits and Jets DC Aaron Glenn's preferences, underscoring the lack of a clear post-No. 1 hierarchy and keeping this defensive talent race intensely competitive.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$242,242
End Date
Apr 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.New York Jets hold the No. 2 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft after a 3-14 finish in 2025, fueling trader consensus on elite edge rushers and versatile linebackers to address their league-worst pass rush; implied probabilities cluster tightly around 49-50% for James Pearce Jr., Arvell Reese, Kelvin Banks Jr., Malaki Starks, and David Bailey due to standout combine and pro day performances elevating multiple prospects equally. Ohio State's Reese impressed with a 4.46-second 40-yard dash and top-30 visits to the Jets, while Texas Tech's Bailey led college football with 15 sacks last season per scouting reports; Georgia safety Starks and Texas OT Banks offer scheme fits amid mock draft splits and Jets DC Aaron Glenn's preferences, underscoring the lack of a clear post-No. 1 hierarchy and keeping this defensive talent race intensely competitive.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$242,242
End Date
Apr 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Will Ty Simpson be the 2nd quarterback drafted in the 2026 pro football draft?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arvell Reese" at 50%, followed by "David Bailey" at 48%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " has generated $242.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick ," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " is "Arvell Reese" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Bailey" at 48%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.