Market icon
Geopolitics·United Arab Emirates

Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?

Market icon
Geopolitics·United Arab Emirates

Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?

NEW
Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$6,473 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$5,288 Vol.

5%

December 31

$1,185 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan ceases to be President of the United Arab Emirates for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan and the government of the United Arab Emirates; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, UAE President and Ruler of Abu Dhabi since 2022, maintains firm control with no official announcements of resignation, removal, or succession changes. Persistent health rumors in February-March 2026, including unverified claims of stroke or death circulated on social media and Turkish outlets, were swiftly debunked by public appearances such as his February 18 meeting with US Senator Lindsey Graham and March 7 statements affirming UAE resilience amid regional tensions from Iran strikes. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days; the Federal Supreme Council, comprising UAE rulers, elects the president for five-year terms typically held by Abu Dhabi's leader. Traders monitor Presidential Court updates and potential geopolitical pressures for shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan ceases to be President of the United Arab Emirates for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan and the government of the United Arab Emirates; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,473
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan ceases to be President of the United Arab Emirates for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan and the government of the United Arab Emirates; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan ceases to be President of the United Arab Emirates for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan and the government of the United Arab Emirates; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, UAE President and Ruler of Abu Dhabi since 2022, maintains firm control with no official announcements of resignation, removal, or succession changes. Persistent health rumors in February-March 2026, including unverified claims of stroke or death circulated on social media and Turkish outlets, were swiftly debunked by public appearances such as his February 18 meeting with US Senator Lindsey Graham and March 7 statements affirming UAE resilience amid regional tensions from Iran strikes. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days; the Federal Supreme Council, comprising UAE rulers, elects the president for five-year terms typically held by Abu Dhabi's leader. Traders monitor Presidential Court updates and potential geopolitical pressures for shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan ceases to be President of the United Arab Emirates for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan and the government of the United Arab Emirates; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,473
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan ceases to be President of the United Arab Emirates for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan and the government of the United Arab Emirates; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

Market icon

Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?

6%
Market icon

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?

44%
Market icon

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

89%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 9%, followed by "June 30" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?" is "December 31" at just 9%, with "June 30" close behind at 5%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.