Team Vitality leads trader consensus at 65% implied probability for the IEM Rio 2026 title, driven by their unchallenged dominance atop HLTV and Valve rankings following a flawless 3-0 grand final sweep over Natus Vincere in the BLAST Open Rotterdam on March 29, alongside earlier 2026 triumphs at IEM Krakow and PGL Cluj-Napoca. Their stable roster featuring ZywOo, ropz, and apEX boasts superior map control and firepower, widening the gap over challengers. Falcons at 10% reflect consistent top-four finishes like their BLAST quarterfinal run, while NaVi (8.5%), recent runners-up, Team Spirit (8%), FURIA (6.5%), and MOUZ (6%) hold realistic upset potential amid CS2's volatile playoffs and group stage surprises at the Farmasi Arena event starting April 13.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIEM Rio 2026 Winner
IEM Rio 2026 Winner
Vitality 65%
Team Spirit 10%
Falcons 10%
Natus Vincere 7%
$151,278 Vol.
$151,278 Vol.

Vitality
65%

Team Spirit
10%

Falcons
10%

Natus Vincere
7%

FURIA
7%

MOUZ
6%

Aurora
2%

Legacy
2%

G2
1%

Gentle Mates
<1%

Team Liquid
<1%

Passion UA
<1%

HOTU
<1%

3DMAX
<1%

B8
<1%

RED Canids
<1%
Vitality 65%
Team Spirit 10%
Falcons 10%
Natus Vincere 7%
$151,278 Vol.
$151,278 Vol.

Vitality
65%

Team Spirit
10%

Falcons
10%

Natus Vincere
7%

FURIA
7%

MOUZ
6%

Aurora
2%

Legacy
2%

G2
1%

Gentle Mates
<1%

Team Liquid
<1%

Passion UA
<1%

HOTU
<1%

3DMAX
<1%

B8
<1%

RED Canids
<1%
If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Team Vitality leads trader consensus at 65% implied probability for the IEM Rio 2026 title, driven by their unchallenged dominance atop HLTV and Valve rankings following a flawless 3-0 grand final sweep over Natus Vincere in the BLAST Open Rotterdam on March 29, alongside earlier 2026 triumphs at IEM Krakow and PGL Cluj-Napoca. Their stable roster featuring ZywOo, ropz, and apEX boasts superior map control and firepower, widening the gap over challengers. Falcons at 10% reflect consistent top-four finishes like their BLAST quarterfinal run, while NaVi (8.5%), recent runners-up, Team Spirit (8%), FURIA (6.5%), and MOUZ (6%) hold realistic upset potential amid CS2's volatile playoffs and group stage surprises at the Farmasi Arena event starting April 13.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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