Trader consensus pins Iga Świątek at 28.5% and Aryna Sabalenka at 26.0% implied probabilities to win the 2026 Women's French Open on clay at Roland Garros, underscoring a fiercely competitive top of the field driven by Swiatek's four prior titles and surface mastery clashing with her recent hard-court slump and new coach Francisco Roig—Nadal's ex-mentor—aiming to sharpen her forehand during Rafa Nadal Academy sessions. Sabalenka's world No. 1 surge via Sunshine Double completion and 22-1 start bolsters her threat, despite skipping Stuttgart for peak freshness ahead of Madrid and Rome tune-ups. Coco Gauff trails at 10.5% off her Miami final run, while Mirra Andreeva (7.0%) and Elena Rybakina (6.6%) eye upsets in an unpredictable draw with no dominant prep results yet from Charleston or ongoing Stuttgart.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIga Świątek 31%
Aryna Sabalenka 25%
Coco Gauff 11%
Mirra Andreeva 7.1%
$1,916,671 Vol.
$1,916,671 Vol.
Iga Świątek
31%
Aryna Sabalenka
25%
Coco Gauff
11%
Mirra Andreeva
7%
Elena Rybakina
7%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Jasmine Paolini
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Elina Svitolina
2%
Karolína Muchová
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Bianca Andreescu
1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
Iga Świątek 31%
Aryna Sabalenka 25%
Coco Gauff 11%
Mirra Andreeva 7.1%
$1,916,671 Vol.
$1,916,671 Vol.
Iga Świątek
31%
Aryna Sabalenka
25%
Coco Gauff
11%
Mirra Andreeva
7%
Elena Rybakina
7%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Jasmine Paolini
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Elina Svitolina
2%
Karolína Muchová
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Bianca Andreescu
1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus pins Iga Świątek at 28.5% and Aryna Sabalenka at 26.0% implied probabilities to win the 2026 Women's French Open on clay at Roland Garros, underscoring a fiercely competitive top of the field driven by Swiatek's four prior titles and surface mastery clashing with her recent hard-court slump and new coach Francisco Roig—Nadal's ex-mentor—aiming to sharpen her forehand during Rafa Nadal Academy sessions. Sabalenka's world No. 1 surge via Sunshine Double completion and 22-1 start bolsters her threat, despite skipping Stuttgart for peak freshness ahead of Madrid and Rome tune-ups. Coco Gauff trails at 10.5% off her Miami final run, while Mirra Andreeva (7.0%) and Elena Rybakina (6.6%) eye upsets in an unpredictable draw with no dominant prep results yet from Charleston or ongoing Stuttgart.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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